Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.211521 0.245926 0.286099 0.336966 0.400363 0.477734 5.808043e-01
2025-02-16 0.160149 0.202986 0.259260 0.340672 0.459112 0.631470 9.143540e-01
2025-02-23 0.130413 0.175679 0.240448 0.344210 0.515411 0.806040 1.388819e+00
2025-03-02 0.110703 0.156109 0.225478 0.346047 0.567175 0.998080 2.049135e+00
2025-03-09 0.096035 0.140337 0.211619 0.344062 0.609928 1.196749 2.932408e+00
2025-03-16 0.084157 0.126476 0.197442 0.336710 0.638564 1.383264 4.039134e+00
2025-03-23 0.077456 0.119758 0.193766 0.347595 0.710019 1.725596 6.305362e+00
2025-03-30 0.069690 0.109969 0.182641 0.340276 0.736175 1.965233 8.787284e+00
2025-04-06 0.064695 0.104287 0.178077 0.345659 0.797417 2.377031 1.382880e+01
2025-04-13 0.059437 0.097414 0.170021 0.341079 0.829817 2.722995 2.047248e+01
2025-04-20 0.055963 0.093393 0.166990 0.347644 0.899452 3.317593 3.556055e+01
2025-04-27 0.053254 0.090477 0.165740 0.358353 0.989251 4.157729 7.111099e+01
2025-05-04 0.050481 0.087189 0.163364 0.366145 1.077063 5.186535 1.613576e+02
2025-05-11 0.048160 0.084553 0.162061 0.376842 1.185495 6.655263 5.026052e+02
2025-05-18 0.045768 0.081503 0.159358 0.382951 1.281611 8.369702 2.268461e+03
2025-05-25 0.043419 0.078292 0.155813 0.385704 1.367078 10.369998 2.703306e+04
2025-06-01 0.041043 0.074786 0.151078 0.383613 1.430003 12.476914 8.198147e+11
2025-06-08 0.038580 0.070868 0.144839 0.375196 1.456462 14.309422 NaN
2025-06-15 0.037349 0.069514 0.144806 0.387767 1.612738 19.673695 NaN
2025-06-22 0.035276 0.066114 0.139134 0.379329 1.639157 22.743946 NaN
2025-06-29 0.033998 0.064387 0.137595 0.385540 1.768301 30.416082 NaN
2025-07-06 0.032360 0.061710 0.133230 0.380258 1.817215 36.659607 NaN
2025-07-13 0.031333 0.060351 0.132250 0.387832 1.971557 51.582611 NaN